Why Political Risk in Chad Is Not About Elections

Why Political Risk in Chad Is Not About ElectionsIn Chad, elections resolve legal status—but they do not settle legitimacy. President Mahamat Déby’s grip on power entering 2026 is firm, anchored in military cohesion and elite alignment. Near-term regime collapse is unlikely. Yet this stability rests on a narrow base, prioritizing security control over institutional consolidation.

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Political Continuity in Mozambique Does Not Mean Predictability

Political Continuity in Mozambique Does Not Mean PredictabilityMozambique’s political system entering 2026 is best described as stable but discretionary. FRELIMO’s dominance remains intact, elections have not altered the balance of power, and regime continuity is not in question. Yet ARC’s assessment shows that political stability has not translated into predictable execution for investors and operators.

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Kenya Investment Outlook: Opportunity Endures, but Execution Risk Now Defines Outcomes

Kenya Investment Outlook Opportunity Endures, but Execution Risk Now Defines OutcomesKenya has long been regarded as East Africa’s most sophisticated investment destination. It hosts the region’s deepest financial sector, the most diversified private economy, and a critical logistics and services hub serving Uganda, Rwanda, South Sudan, eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, and northern Tanzania. For multinational firms, private equity funds, DFIs, and regional operators, Kenya often functions as both a market in its own right and a strategic base for wider African expansion.

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Egypt Energy Transition: The 4 Gates to Bankable Investment

Egypt Energy Transition The 4 Gates to Bankable InvestmentForeign investment sentiment toward Africa has improved materially over the last 18 months, but Egypt is the market where capital is currently concentrating most decisively—not only because of mega real-estate and infrastructure flows, but because the country is becoming a regional energy-transition hub.

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Corridor & Mobility Risk in Ethiopia: A Critical Factor for 2026 Operations

Corridor & Mobility Risk in Ethiopia A Critical Factor for 2026 OperationsAfrica Risk Control (ARC) has highlighted increasing mobility disruptions and corridor volatility that could influence Ethiopia’s transport and logistics sector in 2026. These developments pose a significant challenge for industries dependent on consistent movement of goods.

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Understanding Uganda’s Political, Regulatory Stability During 2026 Election Cycle

Understanding Uganda’s Political, Regulatory Stability During 2026 Election Cycle As Uganda approaches a critical election period next month, attention is increasingly turning to how the political environment may evolve beyond the vote itself. Election cycles in Uganda have historically influenced not only political rhetoric but also regulatory behavior, institutional responsiveness, and the overall investment climate.

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Mozambique 2026: A High-Consequence Market, Not a High-Volume One

Mozambique 2026 A High-Consequence Market, Not a High-Volume OneMozambique is entering 2026 as a market where decisions carry outsized consequences. It is not a high-volume investment destination, but it is increasingly a high-impact one—particularly for energy, infrastructure, logistics, and development-linked operators.

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Chad 2026: Why Most Risk Assessments Fail Before Projects Even Begin

Chad 2026 Why Most Risk Assessments Fail Before Projects Even Begin
Chad 2026 Why Most Risk Assessments Fail Before Projects Even Begin
Chad’s operating environment heading into 2026 is often mischaracterized as either “too risky to enter” or “stable enough to proceed.” Both views are incomplete—and both lead to poor decision-making.

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Foreign Powers and the Red Sea Equation in Sudan, Ethiopia, and Eritrea

Foreign Powers and the Red Sea Equation in Sudan, Ethiopia, and EritreaEast Africa is entering a new phase of strategic risk, one defined not by isolated national crises but by interlocking conflicts and external power competition.

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